Citation:Duffy, A.P., Wright, S, and Cesta, L. (2010) What Role can Growth Curves play in Forecasting with Particular Reference to Technology Strategy? Fifty-Ninth International Wire & Cable Connectivity Symposium, Rhode Island, USA
Abstract:
Previously, papers have been presented to the IWCS which have looked at the use of a limited set of equations to help predict the path of technology. The results were promising and indicated that a set of biologically inspired equations providing analogies for technology push, consumer pull and ‘me too’ type self fuelling growth had potential in predicting (a) the maximum speed etc. of a technology or maximum size of a market (b) the point at which a replacement technology should be invested in (c) understanding the market dynamics driving a technology. Currently an interview-based survey is underway to further investigate this hypothesis. This paper will present the preliminary results of this survey.
Description:
This paper is the output from a collaborative research project with the Department of Engineering
Research Group:Competitive Intelligence-Management Interface Teaching and Research Initiative (CIMITRI) Research Group:Centre for Electronic and Communications Engineering